Bitcoins – if you believe in them, then they are real money

January 17, 2014

Like most, I’ve been seeing a lot of buzz – articles and news stories and such – about the new virtual currency called Bitcoin. Now, let me state up-front that I still don’t feel comfortable that I understand this whole thing about how Bitcoins are mined, i.e. created or brought into existence, at least in cyberspace somewhere. This is one of those concepts that can easily give one a headache when trying to understand it; however, I do believe that the concept of Bitcoins has a reasonable chance of catching on.

Let’s start at a more basic and understandable level, with an understanding of the concept of currency in general. Currency, money if you like, was created way, way back to facilitate trade. Before that everything was pretty much on the barter system. Prior to currency a bottle of wine might have been “worth” a half peck of wheat or some other commodity. Much of what was actually being exchanged in those days was probably food, but there were other things, even back then – household goods and of course jewelry (ladies always had to have jewelry).

So, sometime way, way back the concept of creating an easy to carry and exchange form of surrogate for actual goods was created and dubbed currency (likely not the work used back then, but give me some license on that). Perhaps the first currency was actually a commodity itself, like gold or silver. Some of the first scales developed in civilized worlds were used to measure the weight of this currency, in order to determine how much of some other items it could buy.

Fast-forward to the Roman Empire and we see some of the first use of coins as currency. The concept had evolved such that this trade surrogate, which itself had some intrinsic value (they were forged from gold or silver), was used because it was easy to carry about and generally accepted between people who had other things of value to exchange.  I’m sure that the value of exchange was locally determined, i.e. how many Roman denarius for that goat probably varied by regions. The important thing about this era is that it established firmly in everyone’s minds that they could accept this currency for their goods and use it to buy other goods – it was real money.

The concept of money evolved over millennia and settled into an exchange mechanism that was controlled by and backed by the governments of the various countries in which it was issued and used. That led to the establishment of very complex systems for establishing exchange rates between countries, systems so complex and so corrupted with political influence that they eventually became cumbersome. Eventually all currencies were freed from any connection to an underlying object of intrinsic value (the gold standard was abandoned).

Hit the fast forward button again and you have the concept of the Euro replacing many local currencies in the countries of Europe. The larger world is still awash in various currencies and there is still a very large and sophisticated mechanism in place to establish and maintain exchange rates, although the common interests of countries involved has dictated a more stable and less corruptible system for those exchange rates. At its absolute core it still comes down to how many of the X? (name that you call your currency) does it take to buy that goat. The concept of there still being some official entity in charge has hung on, whether it be called the central bank or the treasury of the country. The other thing that has endured is the existence of a physical instrument, whether it is a dollar or a franc or a pound note. There has always been something that the common man could hold in his hand and put in his wallet.

Enter the BItcoin. The Bitcoin is a virtual currency that had s no connection to any central authority. It is not backed by the faith and good credit of the government of the United State or any other government. It has at its core nothing of intrinsic value; in fact it has no physical embodiment. There is nothing beyond computer files somewhere in the “cloud” to represent this new value placeholder. It is truly a virtual currency.

An even stranger (at least to me) aspect of this virtual currency is the concept of how it is created or “mined”. I’ve  read 2-3 articles on this process and still don’t understand it well enough to explain. Apparently the whole Bitcoin concept was dreamed up by a mysterious and as yet unidentified technology guru who put forth the challenge of solving an increasingly difficult set of mathematical problems, each of which, when solved would result in the creating of some number of Bitcoins. The create of Bitcoins also put a cap on the total number that can ever exist. For reading on this topic which could serve as a great cure for insomnia go to https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/FAQ . I suppose that this process is no more starnge than the government’s (all governments) ability to create more currency by just turning on the printing presses. More money exists because they say it exists.

For a while after they were created, BItcons were for a while the fascinating playthings of the technical community elite. Then a strange thing happened and they got out into the world at large and finally somebody asked, how many BItcoins for that goat over there? When the owner of the goat accepted whatever number that he took, Bitcoins became real currency.  An exchange mechanism to establish the rate at which Bitcoins can be exchanged for other currency is growing and the “value” of Bitcoins has fluctuated based more upon that than anything else – remember that there is no underlying intrinsic value or backing by any central authority. As I write this, the current Bitcoin to dollar exchange rate is $854.75. If you want to know what the exchange rate is at any time go to http://coinmill.com/BTC_USD.html#BTC=1 . Coinmill is one of the companies that is offering exchange services. You won’t be able to exchange your Bitcoins at the border at the exchange window.

Recent, I’ve read that at least a few real estate brokerages have been advertising home for which the sellers would accept Bitcoins as payment and they have stated that they will pay their agent’s commissions in Bitcoins. That should be interesting. Since they don’t exist physically, all you would get, one can assume, is some sort of pointer to a file somewhere in the cloud which would be your Bitcoin account. There’s probably an App for that, too; I just haven’t checked.

So, will Bitcoins be the next big thing? Will they take off and replace currency as we know it? It’s interesting to think about it this way – currency is all in our minds anyway. Since there is no intrinsic value in any modern currency, it is just our belief that it is worth something that causes us to stick it in or wallet and pull it out when we want to buy that goat over there. If you really consider it, most of what you think you have that is measured in modern currency terms only exists as files somewhere in the cloud now – your bank statement or investment statement tells you how much of this currency you have somewhere. It is basically your belief that you can turn those reports into real currency that can be spent to buy something that gives you comfort in the fact that you have nothing in your hand (or wallet) at the time. Bitcoins just take that thought process a step further – there is nothing ever in your wallet with them; but, you can still buy things with them.

Bitcoins feel weird to me right now as a day-today currency and I don’t understand the process through which they are created. They are a little awkward right now because we don’t yet have names for the subdivisions of this currency that might make sense. After all who wants to carry around a coin that is worth $854? Imagine trying to get change for that at your local filling station or 7-Eleven at midnight. I suppose we could have milli-Bitcoins (worth about $.84 at current rates) and micro-Bitcoins (ten of them would about equal a penny), but that gets cumbersome, too. Eventually those issues will be solved. I suspect that our Bitcoins will exist on our smartphones as files that can be accessed and used interactively at places like Starbucks for purchases, where the “change” is returned as a balance in the file. Of course you would have to get used to seeing some pretty small and weird looking numbers, like your cup of Starbucks coffee for .004079B (if that becomes a shorthand for Bitcoins).  I’m still trying to figure out how the Salvation Army Red Kettles will have to be upgraded to let me tap my phone on the kettle and transfer some small portion of a Bitcoin to the kettle. At least I may end up with a smaller bulge in my back pocket. In the meantime, I have a house listed for sale for 281 Bitcoins, if anyone is interested.

I tried to add a picture of a Bitcoin to give this post some visual oompf, but, of course, they don’t exist anywhere physically, so it’s hard to get a picture.


2013 in review a WordPress year-end review of this bog

December 31, 2013

The WordPress.com stats helper monkeys prepared a 2013 annual report for this blog.

Here’s an excerpt:

A New York City subway train holds 1,200 people. This blog was viewed about 5,200 times in 2013. If it were a NYC subway train, it would take about 4 trips to carry that many people.

Click here to see the complete report.


It’s Tax time – get the best help you can…

December 25, 2013

At this time of the year when people think beyond the Holiday season they think about taxes. Those are thoughts that stir fear and trepidation in many. The tax laws just keep getting more and more complex and there are more and more of them to be concerned about. All of this complexity increases the chances that you’ll do something wrong and end up with an IRS audit. That’s the big reason to seek help with your taxes.

Hoffman Tax Services

I know of no one better to help you with your taxes and, if needed, to represent you at an IRS audit than Gerry Hoffman. Gerry holds a Master of Science in Taxation Degree and is certified to represent taxpayers before the IRS. If you spend any time just talking to Gerry about taxes you’ll come away with a couple of thoughts – this guy is passionate about his work and he knows what he’s doing. This is no “pay me $200 and I’ll fill in your tax forms” guy. Gerry studies the tax laws and keeps up with all of the changes. He knows where all of the legal tax breaks are and he knows where the lines are that you shouldn’t cross. He won’t let you wander across those lines and into trouble.
If you listen to a few of Gerry’s stories about going to IRS audits with clients you’ll quickly conclude that you’d want him there with you if you ever got called. Going into an audit situation like that without someone like Gerry is like going to trial on a potentially serious charge without a lawyer – don’t do it. I particularly like the stories he tells about sitting at the IRS Audit table with his foot on top of his client’s foot, so that he can remind the client when to keep quiet by gently (sometime not so gently) stepping down. Also his advice, about staying quiet when the auditor leaves the room and until you get all of the way out of the building, makes perfect sense – there is always a chance that they are listening in on any conversations.
Gerry’s a pleasant enough fellow that you might enjoy meeting him at a social gathering and talking about other things; however, he really comes alive when the subject turns to taxes and his passion for that topic shows through. I don’t know about you, but I’d much rather have a guy who is excited and committed to his profession than some part-time tax preparer trying to make a few extra bucks during tax season. That guy will likely be back at his full-time job, if you get called in for an audit. Gerry will be there, ready to make sure that you don’t make any mistakes during the audit and to defend any and all entries that he made on your return.
Give Gerry a call at 248-553-2226 and get professional help this tax season.
And once you get past the tax season, give Gerry a call for all of your accounting needs. The best way to be sure that you are ready for next year’s tax season is to use Gerry year-around as your accountant. That way you can take advantage of tax breaks during the year and not wait until tax time to claim them. He can also advise you about your business and do things like getting you set up as a corporation to get further tax advantages. Being in business is not all a DIY venture. That’s what people like your banker and your accountant are there for – to advise you on matters that you probably don’t have expertise on and to make sure that you don’t make mistakes but that you get the full advantage of the laws that govern those areas.
Call Gerry today and get started on a better 2014.


If they remember you…

October 10, 2013

“People who are never completely unforgotten never completely die.”  (Ashleigh Brilliant)

I like this saying that I read on the Jack’s Winning Words blog that I get daily because it is true for me. Jack, being a retired pastor of course had some thoughts along the lines of immortality through belief. I certainly agree with those thoughts, but I had some of my on reflections of a more worldly nature.

My parents have been “gone” for a long time now, but they “live on” in my memories just as vividly as if I saw them just yesterday, so they are not forgotten and they have yet to completely die. My son and daughter also have a few fleeting memories of them as grandparents; so they may live through their lifetimes too. After that, I’m not sure; they did not live long enough to ever be seen and remembered by their great-grandchildren.

I have memories of my grandparents, so they’re still alive; but, I never knew my great grandparents, and so they are, at best, written entries on the family tree; and, perhaps, an image on a faded of photo or two. They have probably died. I suspect that there are few, if any, members of some other branch of the family tree who still have direct memories of them.

I suppose this begs the issue of those people from the past that are kept “alive” because they have been recognized  or memorialized in some fashion; usually in pictures and with trophies or plaques or other commemorative items. That is why getting into various Sports or other Halls of Fame is so important. One “lives” forever in those sanctuaries. Babe Ruth and Ty Cobb and Sandy Kofax and others in Cooperstown at the Baseball Hall of Fame “live” today because they are remembered; they are not completely forgotten.  Of course there are those who “live on” in infamy – Hitler, Stalin, Genghis Khan and others. In this modern era, we have movies and TV images that bring back to life many of those who are long gone. If you are still in reruns; you are never dead.

I have often seen people sitting or standing out at cemeteries, visiting and sometimes even talking with loved ones that have passed away. They are not forgotten. They are not dead for those visitors; and somehow there is peace to be found in talking with them as if they were still here and can hear what they are saying.

But, enough of the macabre; the real point that I started out to expound upon is that you really do “live on” in the minds of those around you that you touch; and as long as that is true, you have not “died.”  General Douglas Macarthur expressed this well in his famous quote, “old soldiers never die; they just fade away.” They fade away in the memories of people. For most these days, Macarthur himself has faded away.

Hopefully you will live for a long time in the fond memories of the lives of those whom you touched in positive ways while you were here. For me that’s both a hope and a goal. Old grandpas never die either; they just fade away, too.


Are we being driven to rudeness?

October 1, 2013

I have thought lately about how often I have to be rude or bordering on rude to get through to some telemarketing lackey that I really don’t want to discuss whatever goods, services or cause they are calling about. More and more these intrusive callers just don’t take “no thank you” for an answer. All too often the only solution is just to hang up on them. Is that rude? Perhaps, but it seems to be the only thing that theyangry on phone understand. Just as often it is a robo-call anyway, so I’m really only hanging up on a machine.

I have one west coast company that calls me every week to try to sell my real estate leads. I listened once and said no thank you. They called again and again and again. For the first few of those calls I took the time to tell whoever had called that I wanted them to stop calling; that I wasn’t interested and that I wouldn’t be interested next week either. They called and called and called. So now I don’t even answer calls from their area or, if I do answer, I just hang up as some as they start their pitch. Unfortunately that happens a lot lately. There are just tons of telemarketing companies making millions of unwanted calls every day. Now that they also have our cellphone numbers I get those same calls on my cell phone, even though I signed up on the do not call list for my cell phone.

So, all that is left is to be rude… just hang up…no “no thanks”…just click. I suppose that the folks who do these calls for a living get used to being hung up on. Some have even called back and left a message that we somehow got cut off.  Some of the robo-calling machines even are programed to call back and pick up in the pitch right where they left off when I hung up. Now, that’s hutzpah!

I also read recently about the degraded civility in the nation’s capital between members of congress. The Senate in particular has always been a bastion of feigned civil behavior, with members calling each other “the gentleman from” or “the gentlewoman of”. Lately they have been calling each other something else, none of it gentle.

I’m not sure what has caused this decline in civility and increase in rudeness, although I have a theory that it is somehow connected to technology (especially the robo-calls), always being connected and the greatly increased pace of life. It does, after all, take a bit longer to be polite or civil that it does to just hang up. And the polarization of the political parties in Washington is just reflective of the extreme views out in the public these days. I suppose taking the time to call a congressional colleague “the gentleman from (insert a state here)” would lose its affect if the next phrase were “is a jackass”; though one might get credit for the accuracy of the statement.

So if you’re on the west coast and you have something to sell, please don’t call me. I’ll just hang up. I may feel bad about being rude for a nano-second or two, but I’ll get over that and it’s sad to have to say that.


like me, Like Me, LIKE ME!!!

September 10, 2013

I’m not sure how anyone else feels about this, but I’m getting really tired of what Facebook has morphed into and the entire Like Me, Like Me, Friend Me requests thing. There’s nothing wrong with having a button to allow people to express that they do, in fact, like someone or some business. However, there is something sadly pathetic about people or businesses that have to send out emails to other people, some of who they really don’t even know, asking them to “Like Me” on Facebook or be my Friend.

If I know you or your business, I may “Like you” or it may just be that my feelings about you or your business are not strong enough to push the “Like Me” button.  Ironically the people sending those messages out really don’t care desperatewhether you like them or not; they are just trying to build up Like Me points within Facebook. Sad.

I’ve also got mixed emotions about the Friend Request thing on Facebook. I suppose it does serve a purpose to help one connect with others that you know; however, it too has been abused. I get Friend Requests from people that I barely know or don’t know at all. I always feel a little bad about ignoring those requests from people that I don’t know; but, then I think what difference does it make if I somehow offend someone I’ve never met by refusing their Friend request? Even worse is having to Unfriend someone because of their behavior – perhaps posting offensive stuff to your Wall or adding inappropriate comments to post strings. I imagine that they are sent a notice that they’ve been unfriended or that they will notice that they are no longer able to post to my Wall. Awkward!

Recently a new Facebook-wanna-be app has apparently been added to Yahoo that also has a like me, follow me, be my Friend feature, only with a new twist – it’s aggressive about it. I’ve been getting really annoying emails lately reminding me how many days it’s been since a certain person sent me their Friend Request. It’s not that I don’t like that person, I hardly know them; and, I’m not sure that I want to be listed among their Friends. One reason is that Yahoo would undoubtedly use that Friend information as an indication that I want other stuff emailed to me, which I don’t.

So now we have Internet apps that are getting as aggressive as a bad bill collector about bugging you to do something. I’m sure that I don’t LIKE that. I suppose that all of these sites – Facebook included – will eventually peter out as people move on to other things or get tired of what they’ve become. I imagine that most people didn’t sign up for a Facebook account because they wanted to be constantly tracked and attacked with unrequested and unwanted advertising and Friend or Like requests. Instant Messaging is also experiencing an increase in aggressive, push-based marketing, which at least one can opt out of rather easily; however, there, too, the sender is notified that you opted out. Sorry!

So how much of my personal issues with these things are just indications that I’m becoming an old curmudgeon? I’m not sure. I still believe that the Internet is a great place to find information about just about anything and I use it a lot for that. I’m just not one to excitedly share every detail of my life on public forums like Facebook or Twitter.  They may have served a useful purpose as they were originally envisioned. I’m just not sure about what they seem to be becoming. How about you?

Oh, by the way, if you liked this post; you can sign up to Follow me, which sort of like Friending Me or Liking Me only in blog-speak. I’m generally an up-beat writer.  Just click the Follow button at the bottom and this app will start sending you annoying little emails every time I post something new. If it turns out you don’t like the blog, you can easily un-follow it and I’ll never know. Then there are other buttons at the bottom that allow you to Like this blog post and share it with friends. Wow, how Facebookish of them.


Stifle yourself…

May 30, 2013

“Never miss a good chance to shut up.” (Unknown) from the Jack’s Winning Words Blog. I also recall one of Archie Bunker’s favorite lines to his wife Edith – “Stifle yourself, Edith.”

 

Do you know someone to whom you would love to just say – stifle yourself? Most people who are inveterate talkers just don’t realize how truly annoying it can be to those around them. I’ve caught myself cringing at the first words of such talkers, knowing that those are only the first of too many to come.

 

Most good books on sales or even on relationship building advise listening more than talking, but there are those who seem sure that the world is just awaiting their opinion on whatever topic is at hand.  There are also people who feel obligated to stop whatever conversation was happening to “make sure that you understand” whatever was just said – like you were to dense to have possibly caught the point that was just made. That’s annoying, too.

 

An then, I suppose, there are those who feel compelled to write about this topic instead of stifling that urge; so ……….


It’s always all about the money…

April 30, 2013

I read this week about the rejection in Holly, Michigan by the local school board to a proposal from a parents’ group who wanted to buy an old Holly School District school building and use it to open a charter school. They felt like a charter school might do a better job educating their children. A similar proposal in the Huron Valley School District was also rejected and the buildings were torn down, just as the Holly School District proposes to do with its empty building. The reason given in both cases is that a charter school would take money away from the existing school district. Theremoney was no discussion about what is best for the children or whether or not a charter school might provide a better education – it was all about the money.

Education in America, like healthcare and just about everything else is focused upon the money – how to get more and how to keep what they’ve got. Proposals to offer alternatives, whether they represent better education or better health care are always seen as threats to the existing status quo or monopolies and thus are to be resisted.

In health care the resistance to change is being led by the doctors who are resisting efforts to allow Nurse Practitioners to provide much needed primary health care. There was a story in BusinessWeek a week or so back about a nurse practitioner who is the only healthcare provider within 300 miles of her clinic in a small town area out west who is being prevented from providing needed health care services to the residents of tnursehat area by doctors in the state. They try to base their case on an argument that the nurse practitioners don’t have the required training to provide those services. In fact they do and the real argument is one based upon money.

The doctors currently enjoy a monopoly status for practicing medicine in most states that allows them to control the money that is spent on healthcare. They have succeeded in convincing the legislatures and the insurance industry that they, and only they, can provide the simple services of a primary care specialist. We’re not talking brain surgeon here; just the take my blood pressure and listen to my heart kinds of  simple care services that go along with diagnosing what might be wrong and what care may be needed. None of the nurse practitioners is trying to perform surgery or do other tasks which only a trained doctor/specialist should perform.

Because of the doctors’ monopoly and the lack of enough financial return from being a primary care specialist, the BusinessWeek article pointed out the country is today over 20,00teacher0 primary care specialists short of what is needed and th shortage is getting worse. Do the doctors and their lobbying groups care about that – no way. They just keep fighting all efforts to allow the very people who could relieve that shortage from practicing.

So we have educators who are more concerned about maintaining their monopoly on the education  funds than on the quality of education available for our children and we have doctors who fight to maintain their monopoly on the heath care funds, even as people go without care and education suffers.

I know that the arguments are more complex that just what has been presented here, but at the base of both examples it’s all about the money. I know many individual educators and healthcare workers who are deeply concerned about the quality of what they deliver and who are focused upon success at educating or healing. They usually aren’t the ones making the money oriented decisions. Those are people in both professional fields who have moved into the management side of those businesses. To them it’s all about spread sheets, ROI and making sure that they get every last drop out of the government and insurance money spigots that fund their fields. They have long ago stopped being educators or health care providers; they are now administrators. They are protecting their businesses, not pursuing lofty dreams of a better world through education or heath care. It’s all about the money.

The same story can be written about many other institutions in our society. Parishes and churches are closing all around us. Why? It’s all about the money. Police and fire departments are being shuttered or consolidated or outsourced. Why? It’s all about the money. I could go on and on. In fact, I have already; so, let me wrap up by asking the reader. What things in your world are important enough such that it’s not just about the money? Do you fight for those things in your communities? Why not? Is it all just about the money for you, too?


Real Estate Index Shows Rise of .3% in January

March 17, 2013

The latest FNC Residential Price Index® (RPI) indicates that U.S. property values continued to recover through January—the 11th consecutive month of rising prices. Despite the uneven pace of price gains across different geographical markets, there are clear signs that the housing recovery is increasingly widespread. (Editor’s Note: these national statistics always trail the market by about 2 months, but they do point to trends that likely have continued.)

A limited housing supply and declining foreclosure sales are contributing to the recovery of underlying property values. The average list-to-sale price ratio increased to 93.5 in January, compared to 90.3 during the same period a year ago; in other words, the average asking price discount dropped to 6.5% from 9.7%. Foreclosures, as a percentage of total home sales, were 20.2% in January, down from 26.9% a year ago.

Based on recorded sales of non-distressed properties (existing and new homes) in the 100 largest metropolitan areas, the FNC 100-MSA composite index shows that January home prices rose 0.3% from the previous month and were up 5.7% on a year-over-year basis from the same period in 2012.1 The 30-MSA and 10-MSA composite indices show similar trends of rising prices, with the 10-MSA composite accelerating more rapidly at 0.8% month-over-month and 7.2% year-over-year.

FNC’s RPI is the mortgage industry’s first hedonic price index built on a comprehensive database that blends public records of residential sales prices with real-time appraisals of property and neighborhood attributes.2 As a gauge of underlying home values, the RPI excludes sales of foreclosed homes, which are frequently sold with large price discounts, reflecting poor property conditions.

What about our local market? I’ve certainly seen the rise in home sale prices and the impact of the lack of inventory locally. It’s really frustrating that I’ve got buyers who are ready, willing and able to buy a new home and we can’t find anything for them. As for would-be sellers who have been sitting on the sidelines awaiting a recovery – HELLO! The recovery has occurred and you should take a look at what you house is worth today.

Sure we haven’t made back the entire 30-40% that home values lost from their 2006-7 peaks values; but unless you bought or refinanced at that peak, you are probably OK in terms of what you can get for your house. At least find out. Ask me to do a Comparative Market Analysis for you. The analysis free and may free you up to get on with your life plans by making the move that you’ve been delaying.


Hosed again by my dependence on Microsoft…

March 7, 2013

I’ve been sitting here all afternoon trying to recover what I can from my wonderful Windows Live Email app that decided that it can no longer see any of my email folders and important business emails. What a waste of time. And when I did a search on my problem the responses usually started with , “Yeah, it happens all the time with Windows Live Mail.”

It is pathetic that we have had PC and PS apps for this long and they still can’t make them stable and reliable enough to use for business. I’m convinced that if I could load Windows and the Microsoft Office suite on the world’s most powerful computer;  that computer would be driven to its knees within minutes and crash minutes later.

I used to get frustrated watching a little hour-glass flip over – over and over – while some bloated Microsoft app started or tried to figure out what to do. So I bought the latest and greatest multi-core system with maxed out memory. Now I get to watch a little circle chase its tail around and around, while some even more bloated and inefficient Microsoft Office app tries to open or figure out what to do. And when it gets really confused it just hangs up and forgets where all of its files are located. TO be fair the latest Adobe Reader app is just as bloated and just as slow. And don’t even get me started on how bad Microsoft’s IE browser is these days.

And before you ask, Yes, I do have a backup…an image back up that I’m confident would work…from a little over a week ago. I was on vacation this week and didn’t get a chance to do one before I left. So, I could recover to that time and then sit here rebuilding all of the work that I’ve done in the interim. That would be a waste of time of a different sort.

What could have caused this? Well I did do a scan and repair sing RegCure Pro, a Microsoft partner just before the Windows Live Mail app got a case of amnesia. I guess that’s not surprising either. Many of the complaints in the various on-line forums talked about this happening right after a Live Update from Microsoft, which has also happened to me.

So, once I get this mess straightened out and best that I can, I’ve got to find a better, more reliable alternative to Windows Live Mail – something not a prone to forgetfulness or crashes. I already have a GMail account, so maybe that’s the answer. I was hoping to have something that would store my email files locally, so that I could work with them off-line, if needed. I’ll have to reconsider whether that is really an advantage or just another point of possible failure.